Figuring out when the market is going to crash is simply a matter of understanding what makes the market work: it's the moon, of course. Once you understand that, you'll understand that a market crash is imminent because "all of the largest stock market crashes in history have been 'triggered' by lunar eclipses."
The quote is from J. Adams, who wrote in the same piece that "between Labor Day and Thanksgiving of 2004 there is an extraordinarily high possibility for a stock market crash and global panic." It seems like J. Adams got it wrong, but that's probably because he meant to say 2005. Market predictions are like that--very dependent on getting the year right.
Of course, there's a force other than the moon working on the stock market, and that's the Book of Revelation. T. Chase knows all about it, and that's why he's able to predict, with great certainty, the following: "the U.S. will see economic instability in 2005-2007, but I think much of the rest of the world, in particular Europe, Asia, Japan, and Latin America, will see economic recession or depression and stock market chaos 2005-2007."
Don't be lulled into thinking that the moon and the Bible explain everything, however. They don't. There's also the simple fact that bad stuff tends to repeat itself. Have you ever thought about the parallels between today and 1987--I mean, with the dollar spot index and the S&P index and those sorts of things? W.S.J. has--and it's not pretty.
I could go on and on, and I probably will another day. In the meantime, don't forget: as sure as your mother's foul temper, the market's going to crash, so you may as well sell some QQQs short now. After you've done it, spend a little time reading the Stock Market Crash! Blog, which will give you that warm feeling you get whenever you think about how everyone else is going to lose all their money.
Finally, don't pay attention to physicists from UCLA. They don't know shit about the stock market.
Well, as you say, it has happened and it will happen again - the stock market will crash. But it is not the moon and for a really well educated investor such events can be sensed. There are signs that can help you predict an upcoming crash. Just think of names such as Charles Merrill - the first Wall Streeter to predict the Great Crash of 1929. He saved himself by liquidating his firm's stock portfolio before the crash came.
So what any investor should do is study carefully the events that cause the stock market crashes in order to be able to avoid great losses. Here is a start: Top 10 Stock Market Crashes
Posted by: Steven | October 03, 2007 at 02:50 AM